十面埋伏分析.js 12 KB

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  1. const logger = require("./utils/logger");
  2. const NumKit = require('./utils/num-kit')
  3. const TimeKit = require('./utils/time-kit')
  4. const ChartKit = require('./utils/chart-kit');
  5. const fs = require('fs').promises;
  6. async function readData() {
  7. let data = await fs.readFile('./data/k_lines.json', 'utf8')
  8. return JSON.parse(data)
  9. }
  10. /* 概率学说 */
  11. // 统计过去N根累计涨幅,【有一定关系】
  12. function statisticA(kLines, index) {
  13. let startK = kLines[index - 12]
  14. let endK = kLines[index - 1]
  15. if (!startK || !endK) {
  16. return 0
  17. }
  18. return parseInt(100 * (endK.Close - startK.Open) / startK.Open) + 100
  19. }
  20. // 返回过去一共NK涨幅超过M%【这个有关的】
  21. function statisticB(kLines, index) {
  22. let count = 0
  23. for (let i = index - 1; i >= index - 2; i--) {
  24. let kLine = kLines[i]
  25. if (!kLines[i - 1]) break
  26. if (100 * (kLine.Close - kLine.Open) / kLine.Open < 1) continue
  27. count += 1
  28. }
  29. return count
  30. }
  31. /* 指标学说 */
  32. // 一个新的指标,前N根共有M根与BTC走势一致
  33. function statisticC(kLines, index, btcKLines, btcIndex) {
  34. let count = 0
  35. for (let i = 6; i >= 1; i--) {
  36. let kLine = kLines[index - i]
  37. let btcKLine = btcKLines[btcIndex - i]
  38. if (!kLines[index - i - 1] || !btcKLines[btcIndex - i - 1]) break
  39. if (kLine.Open > kLine.Close && btcKLine.Open > btcKLine.Close) count += 1
  40. if (kLine.Open < kLine.Close && btcKLine.Open < btcKLine.Close) count += 1
  41. }
  42. return count
  43. }
  44. /* 形态学说 */
  45. // 如果前一根k线是阴线,并且收了影线,影线涨幅>=实体跌幅*0.732【有用,能过滤60%的交易,但是过滤的交易很多都是能盈利的,所以这个因子只能说保留一下】
  46. // function statisticD(_kLines, _index) {
  47. // let k = kLines[index - 1]
  48. //
  49. // if (!k) return 0
  50. //
  51. // // 计算实体的跌幅
  52. // const bodyDecline = k.Open - k.Close;
  53. //
  54. // // 如果跌幅小于5%,不适用这个过滤
  55. // if (100 * (k.Low - k.Open) / k.Open > -10) return 1
  56. //
  57. // // 计算下影线的涨幅
  58. // const lowerShadowGain = Math.min(k.Open, k.Close) - k.Low;
  59. //
  60. // // 判断下影线的涨幅是否大于或等于实体的跌幅
  61. // const hasLongLowerShadow = (lowerShadowGain / k.Low) >= (bodyDecline / k.Open) * 1;
  62. //
  63. // // 阴线并且下影线涨幅大于或等于实体跌幅
  64. // return hasLongLowerShadow ? 1 : 0;
  65. //
  66. // return 0
  67. // }
  68. // function statisticE(kLines, index) {
  69. // let kLine = kLines[index]
  70. // let date = new Date(kLine.Time)
  71. //
  72. // // date.getDay() * 100
  73. // return date.getHours()
  74. // }
  75. // 过去24小时成交额度之和。大于1B用1000表示,小于10M用0表示,没啥意义
  76. // function statisticF(kLines, index) {
  77. // let sum = 0
  78. // for (let i = index - 1; i >= index - 12; i--) {
  79. // let kLine = kLines[i]
  80. //
  81. // if (!kLines[i - 1]) break
  82. //
  83. // sum += kLine.Turnover
  84. // }
  85. //
  86. // let rst = parseInt(sum / 1e7)
  87. // return rst > 100 ? 100 : rst
  88. // }
  89. // 指标过滤
  90. function filter(btcKLines, kLines, index, btcIndex, symbol) {
  91. if (symbol === 'PDA_USDT') {
  92. logger.info(kLines[index], btcKLines[index], index, btcIndex)
  93. }
  94. // 过去N根K的累计涨幅
  95. let upRateN = statisticA(kLines, index)
  96. if (upRateN >= 90) {
  97. return false
  98. }
  99. // 一共NK涨幅超过M%
  100. if (statisticB(kLines, index) > 0) {
  101. return false
  102. }
  103. // 过去N根k线一共有M根与btc走势一致
  104. if (statisticC(kLines, index, btcKLines, btcIndex) > 4) {
  105. return false
  106. }
  107. return NOOBS.indexOf(symbol) === -1;
  108. }
  109. let realCountMap = {}
  110. function getRealDragonMap(btcKLines, kLinesMap, dayCount, BUY_LIMIT_RATE) {
  111. let realDragonMap = {}
  112. for (let symbol in kLinesMap) {
  113. let kLines = kLinesMap[symbol]
  114. let index = kLines.length - (dayCount + 1)
  115. let btcIndex = btcKLines.length - (dayCount + 1)
  116. let kLine = kLines[index]
  117. let prevKline = kLines[index - 1]
  118. // 开盘第一K不计算
  119. if (!kLine || !prevKline) continue
  120. // 注意btc的时间戳要和计算的k的时间戳一样
  121. if (btcKLines[btcIndex].Time !== kLine.Time) continue
  122. // 指标过滤
  123. if (!filter(btcKLines, kLines, index, btcIndex, symbol)) continue
  124. let rate = 100 * (kLine.Close - kLine.Open) / kLine.Open
  125. // let upRate = 100 * (kLine.High - kLine.Open) / kLine.Open
  126. if (rate > BUY_LIMIT_RATE) {
  127. kLine.Rate = rate
  128. kLine.Profit = NumKit.getSubFloat(rate - BUY_LIMIT_RATE, 2)
  129. // if (upRate > 150) kLine.Profit = 140
  130. realDragonMap[symbol] = kLine
  131. if (!realCountMap[symbol]) {
  132. realCountMap[symbol] = kLine.Profit
  133. } else {
  134. realCountMap[symbol] += kLine.Profit
  135. }
  136. realCountMap[symbol] = NumKit.getSubFloat(realCountMap[symbol], 2)
  137. }
  138. }
  139. return realDragonMap
  140. }
  141. let fakeCountMap = {}
  142. function getFakeDragonMap(btcKLines, kLinesMap, dayCount, BUY_LIMIT_RATE) {
  143. let fakeDragonMap = {}
  144. for (let symbol in kLinesMap) {
  145. let kLines = kLinesMap[symbol]
  146. let index = kLines.length - (dayCount + 1)
  147. let btcIndex = btcKLines.length - (dayCount + 1)
  148. let kLine = kLines[index]
  149. let prevKline = kLines[index - 1]
  150. // 开盘第一K不计算
  151. if (!kLine || (!prevKline)) continue
  152. // 注意btc的时间戳要和计算的k的时间戳一样
  153. if (btcKLines[btcIndex].Time !== kLine.Time) continue
  154. // 指标过滤
  155. if (!filter(btcKLines, kLines, index, btcIndex, symbol)) continue
  156. let rate = 100 * (kLine.Close - kLine.Open) / kLine.Open
  157. if (rate < BUY_LIMIT_RATE) {
  158. kLine.Rate = rate
  159. // kLine.Profit = NumKit.getSubFloat(rate > 0 ? rate - BUY_LIMIT_RATE : -BUY_LIMIT_RATE, 2)
  160. kLine.Profit = NumKit.getSubFloat(rate - BUY_LIMIT_RATE, 2)
  161. fakeDragonMap[symbol] = kLine
  162. if (!fakeCountMap[symbol]) {
  163. fakeCountMap[symbol] = kLine.Profit
  164. } else {
  165. fakeCountMap[symbol] += kLine.Profit
  166. }
  167. fakeCountMap[symbol] = NumKit.getSubFloat(fakeCountMap[symbol], 2)
  168. }
  169. }
  170. return fakeDragonMap
  171. }
  172. let dataLeft = {}
  173. let dataRight = {}
  174. let tempLeft = []
  175. let tempRight = []
  176. let dataY = []
  177. function dragonAnalysis(btcKLines, kLinesMap, dragonMap, _dayCount) {
  178. for (let symbol in dragonMap) {
  179. // let kLines = kLinesMap[symbol]
  180. // let index = kLines.length - (dayCount + 1)
  181. // let x = statisticE(kLines, index)
  182. // dataY = [100, 102, 104, 106, 108, 110, 112, 114, 116, 118, 120, 122, 200, 202, 204, 206, 208, 210, 212, 214, 216, 218, 220, 222, 300, 302, 304, 306, 308, 310, 312, 314, 316, 318, 320, 322, 400, 402, 404, 406, 408, 410, 412, 414, 416, 418, 420, 422, 500, 502, 504, 506, 508, 510, 512, 514, 516, 518, 520, 522, 600, 602, 604, 606, 608, 610, 612, 614, 616, 618, 620, 622, 700, 702, 704, 706, 708, 710, 712, 714, 716, 718, 720, 722]
  183. // let x = statisticE(btcKLines, kLines, index)
  184. let x = symbol
  185. let y = dragonMap[symbol].Profit
  186. // 打印实际的量
  187. if (1 === 1) {
  188. if (y > 0) {
  189. if (dataRight[x]) {
  190. dataRight[x] += y
  191. } else {
  192. dataRight[x] = y
  193. }
  194. } else {
  195. if (dataLeft[x]) {
  196. dataLeft[x] += y
  197. } else {
  198. dataLeft[x] = y
  199. }
  200. }
  201. } else {
  202. // 打印倍数
  203. if (y > 0) {
  204. if (tempRight[x]) {
  205. tempRight[x] += y
  206. } else {
  207. tempRight[x] = y
  208. }
  209. } else {
  210. if (tempLeft[x]) {
  211. tempLeft[x] += y
  212. } else {
  213. tempLeft[x] = y
  214. }
  215. }
  216. dataRight[x] = (tempLeft[x]?tempRight[x]/Math.abs(tempLeft[x]):0)
  217. if (dataRight[x] > 10) dataRight[x] = 10
  218. if (dataRight[x] < 0.5) dataRight[x] = 0.5
  219. }
  220. }
  221. }
  222. let NOOBS = []
  223. async function main() {
  224. let kLinesMap = await readData()
  225. const BUY_LIMIT_RATE = 0 // 从什么比例入场
  226. const FIRST_FEW_DAYS = 0 // 第几K的数据,0表示今K,1表示昨K,2表示前K,以此类推
  227. const BAKE_TEST_DAYS = 720 // 一共回测多少K
  228. // const FIRST_FEW_DAYS = 710 // 第几K的数据,0表示今K,1表示昨K,2表示前K,以此类推
  229. // const BAKE_TEST_DAYS = 1 // 一共回测多少K
  230. let btcKLines = kLinesMap['BTC_USDT']
  231. let totalProfit = 0
  232. for (let day_count = FIRST_FEW_DAYS; day_count < FIRST_FEW_DAYS + BAKE_TEST_DAYS; day_count++) {
  233. let btcKline = btcKLines[btcKLines.length - (day_count + 1)]
  234. // let btcKlineDownRate = 100 * (btcKline.Open - btcKline.Low) / btcKline.Open // 可能的回撤计算
  235. let btcKlineUpRate = 100 * (btcKline.High - btcKline.Close) / btcKline.High // 可能的回撤计算
  236. // 赚钱榜
  237. // logger.info("----------------赚钱榜数据分析----------------")
  238. let realDragonProfit = 0
  239. let realDragonMap = getRealDragonMap(btcKLines, kLinesMap, day_count, BUY_LIMIT_RATE)
  240. for (let symbol in realDragonMap) {
  241. realDragonProfit += realDragonMap[symbol].Profit
  242. logger.info(`${realDragonMap[symbol].Symbol}, ${realDragonMap[symbol].Profit}%`)
  243. }
  244. dragonAnalysis(btcKLines, kLinesMap, realDragonMap, day_count)
  245. // logger.info("----------------亏钱榜数据分析----------------")
  246. // 亏钱榜
  247. let fakeDragonProfit = 0
  248. let fakeDragonMap = getFakeDragonMap(btcKLines, kLinesMap, day_count, BUY_LIMIT_RATE)
  249. for (let symbol in fakeDragonMap) {
  250. fakeDragonProfit += fakeDragonMap[symbol].Profit
  251. logger.info(`${fakeDragonMap[symbol].Symbol}, ${fakeDragonMap[symbol].Profit}%`)
  252. }
  253. dragonAnalysis(btcKLines, kLinesMap, fakeDragonMap, day_count)
  254. realDragonProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(realDragonProfit, 2)
  255. fakeDragonProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(fakeDragonProfit, 2)
  256. let realLength = Object.keys(realDragonMap).length
  257. let fakeLength = Object.keys(fakeDragonMap).length
  258. let realRate = NumKit.getSubFloat(realLength / (realLength + fakeLength), 2)
  259. let fakeRate = NumKit.getSubFloat(1 - realRate, 2)
  260. let expRealProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(realRate * realDragonProfit, 2)
  261. let expFakeProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(fakeRate * fakeDragonProfit, 2)
  262. let synProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(expFakeProfit + expRealProfit, 2)
  263. let avgProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(synProfit / (realLength + fakeLength), 2)
  264. let isStopLoss = false
  265. if ((Object.keys(fakeDragonMap).length !== 0 || Object.keys(realDragonMap).length !== 0)) {
  266. if (btcKlineUpRate > 3.4) {
  267. avgProfit -= 6.8
  268. if (avgProfit < -6.8) avgProfit = -6.8
  269. isStopLoss = true
  270. } else if (avgProfit < -16.8) {
  271. avgProfit = -16.8
  272. }
  273. } else {
  274. avgProfit = 0
  275. }
  276. let index = kLinesMap['BTC_USDT'].length - (day_count + 1)
  277. let btcK = kLinesMap['BTC_USDT'][index]
  278. let dateStr = TimeKit.getTimeByMillisecond(btcK.Time)
  279. // let _btcUpRate = NumKit.getSubFloat(100 * (btcK.Close - btcK.Open) / btcK.Open, 2)
  280. logger.info(`${day_count}根(${dateStr}), ${realLength + fakeLength}只, 平均每只利润${avgProfit}% ${isStopLoss ? '(止损)' : ''},`
  281. + `赚钱(${realLength}只)利润${realDragonProfit}%,亏钱(${fakeLength}只)利润${fakeDragonProfit}%`
  282. + `,赚钱榜期望利润${expRealProfit}%,亏钱榜期望利润${expFakeProfit}%,综合利润${synProfit}%`
  283. // + `,BTC涨幅${btcUpRate}%`
  284. )
  285. logger.info('')
  286. logger.info('--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------')
  287. totalProfit += avgProfit
  288. totalProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(totalProfit, 2)
  289. }
  290. let dayProfit = NumKit.getSubFloat(totalProfit / BAKE_TEST_DAYS, 2)
  291. logger.info(`利润期望值总和:${totalProfit}%,平均根化${dayProfit}%。`)
  292. // let lastData = []
  293. // for (let x = 0; x < dataRight.length; x++) {
  294. // lastData.push([x, dataRight[x]])
  295. // }
  296. // 这里可以生成noobs
  297. dataY = Object.keys(dataRight)
  298. let noobs = []
  299. for (let symbol in dataLeft) {
  300. if (dataLeft[symbol] + dataRight[symbol] < 0) {
  301. noobs.push(symbol)
  302. }
  303. }
  304. logger.info(JSON.stringify(noobs))
  305. // 如果key是字符串,就要加这些
  306. dataLeft = Object.values(dataLeft)
  307. dataRight = Object.values(dataRight)
  308. let rst = 'option=' + JSON.stringify(ChartKit.printBar(dataY, dataLeft, dataRight), null, 2)
  309. // let rst = 'option=' + JSON.stringify(ChartKit.printPointChart(lastData), null, 2)
  310. require('fs').writeFile('./data/option.txt', rst, 'utf8', (err) => {
  311. if (err) {
  312. logger.error('写入文件时发生错误:', err);
  313. } else {
  314. logger.info('分析结果已写入到 ./data/option.txt');
  315. }
  316. });
  317. }
  318. main().catch((error) => {
  319. logger.error(error.stack);
  320. process.exitCode = 1;
  321. })