predictor.rs 19 KB

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  1. use std::cmp::max;
  2. use std::collections::{BTreeMap, VecDeque};
  3. use std::sync::Arc;
  4. use chrono::{Utc};
  5. use futures_channel::mpsc::UnboundedSender;
  6. use futures_util::StreamExt;
  7. use reqwest::{Client};
  8. use rust_decimal::prelude::*;
  9. use rust_decimal_macros::dec;
  10. use serde_json::{json, Value};
  11. use tokio::sync::{Mutex};
  12. use tracing::{error, info};
  13. use global::cci::CentralControlInfo;
  14. use global::fixed_time_range_deque::FixedTimeRangeDeque;
  15. use global::params::Params;
  16. use standard::{Depth, Record, Ticker, Trade};
  17. use crate::utils;
  18. #[derive(Debug, Clone)]
  19. pub struct Predictor {
  20. pub depth_vec: Vec<Depth>, // 深度队列
  21. pub spread_vec: Vec<Decimal>, // 价差队列
  22. pub record_vec: VecDeque<Record>, // 蜡烛队列
  23. pub mid_price: Decimal, // 中间价
  24. pub fair_price: Decimal,
  25. pub ask_price: Decimal, // 卖一价
  26. pub bid_price: Decimal, // 买一价
  27. pub last_price: Decimal, // 最后成交价
  28. pub optimal_ask_price: Decimal, // 卖出挂单价
  29. pub optimal_bid_price: Decimal, // 买入挂单价
  30. pub inventory: Decimal, // 库存,也就是q
  31. pub pos_amount: Decimal, // 原始持仓量
  32. pub pos_avg_price: Decimal, // 原始持仓价格
  33. pub balance: Decimal, // 初始余额
  34. pub prev_balance: Decimal,
  35. pub signal: Decimal, // 大于0代表此时是正向信号,小于0则相反
  36. pub ask_delta: Decimal, // δa
  37. pub bid_delta: Decimal, // δb
  38. pub fair_price_vec: Vec<Decimal>, // 公平价格列表
  39. pub fair_price_std_vec: Vec<Decimal>, // 公平价格列表,标准化之后的
  40. pub price_avg_times_vec: Vec<Decimal>, // 公平所与做市所的价格倍率的平均值
  41. pub price_avg_times_long_vec: Vec<Decimal>, // 公平所与做市所的价格倍率的平均值
  42. pub is_ready: bool, // 是否已准备好
  43. pub last_update_time: Decimal, // 最后更新时间(depth)
  44. pub last_index: Decimal, // 最后更新的index
  45. pub prev_insert_time: Decimal,
  46. pub prev_save_time: Decimal,
  47. pub init_time: Decimal,
  48. pub prev_update_open_params_time: Decimal,
  49. pub params: Params,
  50. pub debug_sender: UnboundedSender<Vec<Decimal>>
  51. }
  52. impl Predictor {
  53. // 时间窗口大小(微秒)
  54. // const MAX_TIME_RANGE_MICROS: i64 = 3 * 60_000_000;
  55. // const TIME_DIFF_RANGE_MICROS: i64 = 15 * 60_000_000;
  56. // const TRADE_LONG_RANGE_MICROS: i64 = 60_000_000;
  57. // const SPREAD_RANGE_MICROS: i64 = 15 * 60_000_000;
  58. // const TRADE_SHORT_RANGE_MICROS: i64 = 2 * 60_000_000;
  59. // const ONE_MILLION: Decimal = dec!(1_000_000);
  60. // const TWENTY_THOUSAND: Decimal = dec!(20_000);
  61. const DONT_VIEW: Decimal = dec!(14142135623730951);
  62. pub fn new(_cci_arc: Arc<Mutex<CentralControlInfo>>, params: Params) -> Self {
  63. // 创建数据通道
  64. // 创建一个无界通道
  65. let (tx, mut rx) = futures_channel::mpsc::unbounded::<Vec<Decimal>>();
  66. let account_port = params.port.clone();
  67. tokio::spawn(async move {
  68. let len = 17usize;
  69. let mut prev_save_time = Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis());
  70. let mut debugs: Vec<VecDeque<Option<Decimal>>> = vec![VecDeque::new(); len];
  71. while let Some(value) = rx.next().await {
  72. // 数据填充到对应位置
  73. for i in 0..len {
  74. if value[i] == Self::DONT_VIEW {
  75. debugs[i].push_back(None);
  76. } else {
  77. debugs[i].push_back(Some(value[i]));
  78. }
  79. }
  80. // 长度限制
  81. if debugs[0].len() > 500_000 {
  82. for i in 0..len {
  83. debugs[i].pop_front(); // 从前面移除元素
  84. }
  85. }
  86. let now = Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis());
  87. if now - prev_save_time < dec!(30000) {
  88. continue;
  89. }
  90. let debugs_clone = debugs.clone();
  91. let temp_html_str = tokio::task::spawn_blocking(move || {
  92. utils::build_html_file(&debugs_clone)
  93. }).await.unwrap();
  94. let path = format!("./db/{}.html", account_port);
  95. utils::write_to_file(&temp_html_str, path).await;
  96. prev_save_time = Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis());
  97. }
  98. });
  99. let predictor = Self {
  100. // 接针版本
  101. depth_vec: vec![Depth::new(); params.ref_exchange.len()],
  102. fair_price_std_vec: vec![Decimal::ZERO; params.ref_exchange.len()],
  103. fair_price_vec: vec![Decimal::ZERO; params.ref_exchange.len()],
  104. price_avg_times_vec: vec![Decimal::ZERO; params.ref_exchange.len()],
  105. price_avg_times_long_vec: vec![Decimal::ZERO; params.ref_exchange.len()],
  106. spread_vec: vec![Decimal::ZERO; params.ref_exchange.len()],
  107. record_vec: VecDeque::new(),
  108. mid_price: Default::default(),
  109. fair_price: Default::default(),
  110. ask_price: Default::default(),
  111. bid_price: Default::default(),
  112. last_price: Default::default(),
  113. optimal_ask_price: Default::default(),
  114. optimal_bid_price: Default::default(),
  115. ask_delta: Default::default(),
  116. bid_delta: Default::default(),
  117. is_ready: false,
  118. inventory: Default::default(),
  119. pos_avg_price: Default::default(),
  120. pos_amount: Default::default(),
  121. balance: Default::default(),
  122. prev_balance: Default::default(),
  123. signal: Default::default(),
  124. last_update_time: Default::default(),
  125. last_index: Default::default(),
  126. prev_insert_time: Default::default(),
  127. prev_save_time: Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis()),
  128. init_time: Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis()),
  129. prev_update_open_params_time: Default::default(),
  130. params,
  131. debug_sender: tx,
  132. };
  133. predictor
  134. }
  135. pub async fn on_depth(&mut self, depth: &Depth, index: usize) {
  136. self.last_update_time = depth.time;
  137. self.last_index = Decimal::from(index);
  138. if index == 233 {
  139. self.ask_price = depth.asks[0].price;
  140. self.bid_price = depth.bids[0].price;
  141. self.mid_price = (self.ask_price + self.bid_price) / Decimal::TWO;
  142. } else {
  143. self.update_fair_price(depth, index).await;
  144. self.depth_vec[index] = depth.clone();
  145. }
  146. if self.mid_price.is_zero() {
  147. return;
  148. }
  149. self.processor(depth.time, false).await;
  150. }
  151. pub async fn on_trade(&mut self, trade: &Trade, _index: usize) {
  152. self.last_price = trade.price;
  153. // self.processor().await;
  154. }
  155. pub async fn on_ticker(&mut self, _ticker: &Ticker) {}
  156. pub async fn on_record(&mut self, _record: &Record) {}
  157. pub async fn on_inventory(&mut self, pos_amount: &Decimal, pos_avg_price: &Decimal, min_amount_value: &Decimal, update_time: Decimal) {
  158. if self.mid_price.is_zero() {
  159. return;
  160. }
  161. let prev_pos_amount = self.pos_amount;
  162. self.pos_amount = pos_amount.clone();
  163. self.pos_avg_price = pos_avg_price.clone();
  164. self.inventory = (pos_amount / (min_amount_value / self.mid_price)).trunc();
  165. // 小于1但不为0的情况,需要平完
  166. if self.inventory.is_zero() && !pos_amount.is_zero() {
  167. self.inventory = if pos_amount > &Decimal::ZERO {
  168. Decimal::ONE
  169. } else {
  170. Decimal::NEGATIVE_ONE
  171. };
  172. }
  173. if prev_pos_amount != self.pos_amount {
  174. self.processor(update_time, true).await;
  175. }
  176. }
  177. pub async fn on_balance(&mut self, balance: Decimal) {
  178. self.balance = balance;
  179. }
  180. pub fn get_real_rate(price_vec: &FixedTimeRangeDeque<Decimal>) -> Decimal {
  181. let last_fair_price = price_vec.deque.iter().last().unwrap();
  182. let min_price = price_vec.deque.iter().min().unwrap();
  183. let max_price = price_vec.deque.iter().max().unwrap();
  184. let up_rate = (last_fair_price - min_price) / min_price;
  185. let down_rate = (max_price - last_fair_price) / max_price;
  186. if up_rate > down_rate {
  187. up_rate
  188. } else {
  189. -down_rate
  190. }
  191. }
  192. pub async fn update_fair_price(&mut self, depth: &Depth, index: usize) {
  193. if self.mid_price.is_zero() {
  194. return;
  195. }
  196. let a1 = &depth.asks[0];
  197. let b1 = &depth.bids[0];
  198. // https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/50651/how-to-understand-micro-price-aka-weighted-mid-price
  199. let total = a1.value + b1.value;
  200. // let fair_price = (a1.price + b1.price) / Decimal::TWO;
  201. // 生成fp
  202. self.fair_price_vec[index] = a1.price * b1.value / total + b1.price * a1.value / total;
  203. self.fair_price_vec[index].rescale(self.mid_price.scale());
  204. // 求价格倍率
  205. self.price_avg_times_vec[index] = if !self.is_ready {
  206. self.fair_price_vec[index] / self.mid_price
  207. } else {
  208. self.price_avg_times_vec[index] * dec!(0.9998) + dec!(0.0002) * self.fair_price_vec[index] / self.mid_price
  209. };
  210. self.price_avg_times_long_vec[index] = if !self.is_ready {
  211. self.fair_price_vec[index] / self.mid_price
  212. } else {
  213. self.price_avg_times_long_vec[index] * dec!(0.9999) + dec!(0.0001) * self.fair_price_vec[index] / self.mid_price
  214. };
  215. // 合成公平价格
  216. self.fair_price_std_vec[index] = self.fair_price_vec[index] / self.price_avg_times_vec[index];
  217. // 开仓信号处理
  218. self.signal = Decimal::ZERO;
  219. for (i, price_avg_times_long) in self.price_avg_times_long_vec.iter().enumerate() {
  220. if price_avg_times_long.is_zero() {
  221. return;
  222. }
  223. let price_avg_times_short = self.price_avg_times_vec[i];
  224. self.spread_vec[i] = price_avg_times_short - price_avg_times_long;
  225. self.signal = self.signal + self.spread_vec[i];
  226. }
  227. // self.signal = self.signal / self.params.min_spread;
  228. // self.signal.rescale(0);
  229. // 生成最终用于挂单的公平价格
  230. let fair_price_sum: Decimal = self.fair_price_std_vec.iter().sum();
  231. let fair_price_count = self.fair_price_std_vec.iter()
  232. .filter(|&&value| value != Decimal::new(0, 0)) // 过滤掉0
  233. .count();
  234. if fair_price_count != 0 {
  235. self.fair_price = fair_price_sum / Decimal::from(fair_price_count);
  236. }
  237. }
  238. pub async fn update_delta(&mut self) {
  239. if self.mid_price.is_zero() {
  240. return;
  241. }
  242. let now = Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis());
  243. if now - self.prev_update_open_params_time > dec!(60_000)
  244. || self.prev_balance != self.balance {
  245. self.update_open_params().await;
  246. self.prev_balance = self.balance;
  247. self.prev_update_open_params_time = now;
  248. }
  249. for fair_price in &self.fair_price_vec {
  250. if fair_price.is_zero() {
  251. return;
  252. }
  253. }
  254. let is_close_long = self.inventory > Decimal::ZERO && self.signal > Decimal::ZERO;
  255. let is_close_short = self.inventory < Decimal::ZERO && self.signal < Decimal::ZERO;
  256. if is_close_long {
  257. self.ask_delta = dec!(0);
  258. self.bid_delta = dec!(-2);
  259. self.optimal_ask_price = self.fair_price + self.fair_price * self.params.close;
  260. self.optimal_bid_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  261. } else if is_close_short {
  262. self.bid_delta = dec!(0);
  263. self.ask_delta = dec!(-2);
  264. self.optimal_bid_price = self.fair_price - self.fair_price * self.params.close;
  265. self.optimal_ask_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  266. } else {
  267. if self.signal > Decimal::ZERO {
  268. self.bid_delta = dec!(0);
  269. self.ask_delta = dec!(-2);
  270. self.optimal_bid_price = self.fair_price - self.fair_price * (self.params.open - self.signal);
  271. self.optimal_ask_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  272. } else if self.signal < Decimal::ZERO {
  273. self.ask_delta = dec!(0);
  274. self.bid_delta = dec!(-2);
  275. self.optimal_ask_price = self.fair_price + self.fair_price * (self.params.open + self.signal);
  276. self.optimal_bid_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  277. } else {
  278. self.bid_delta = dec!(0);
  279. self.ask_delta = dec!(0);
  280. self.optimal_bid_price = self.fair_price - self.fair_price * self.params.open;
  281. self.optimal_ask_price = self.fair_price + self.fair_price * self.params.open;
  282. }
  283. }
  284. self.optimal_ask_price.rescale(self.mid_price.scale());
  285. self.optimal_bid_price.rescale(self.mid_price.scale());
  286. }
  287. pub fn check_ready(&mut self) {
  288. if self.is_ready {
  289. return;
  290. }
  291. if self.mid_price.is_zero() {
  292. return;
  293. }
  294. for fair_price in &self.fair_price_vec {
  295. if fair_price.is_zero() {
  296. return;
  297. }
  298. }
  299. if self.ask_price.is_zero() {
  300. return;
  301. }
  302. if self.bid_price.is_zero() {
  303. return;
  304. }
  305. if self.balance.is_zero() {
  306. return;
  307. }
  308. self.is_ready = true;
  309. info!("========================================行情数据预热完毕==================================")
  310. }
  311. // #[instrument(skip(self), level="TRACE")]
  312. async fn processor(&mut self, data_time: Decimal, is_hard_update: bool) {
  313. self.check_ready();
  314. if !self.is_ready {
  315. return;
  316. }
  317. self.update_delta().await;
  318. // let cci_arc = self.cci_arc.clone();
  319. let now = data_time;
  320. let mid_price = self.mid_price;
  321. let ask_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  322. let bid_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  323. let optimal_ask_price = self.optimal_ask_price;
  324. let optimal_bid_price = self.optimal_bid_price;
  325. let last_price = Self::DONT_VIEW;
  326. let fair_price = self.fair_price;
  327. let spread = self.signal;
  328. let spread_min = self.fair_price_vec[0] / self.mid_price - self.price_avg_times_vec[0];
  329. let spread_max = self.fair_price_vec[0] / self.mid_price - self.price_avg_times_long_vec[0];
  330. // let spread = self.price_times_avg;
  331. // let spread_max = self.fair_price_vec[1] / self.fair_price_vec[0];
  332. // let spread_min = self.fair_price / self.mid_price;
  333. let inventory = self.inventory;
  334. let sigma_square = self.params.open;
  335. let gamma = self.balance;
  336. let kappa = Decimal::ZERO;
  337. let flow_ratio = Decimal::ZERO;
  338. let need_append = now - self.prev_insert_time > dec!(500);
  339. if !need_append && !is_hard_update {
  340. return;
  341. }
  342. if !is_hard_update {
  343. self.prev_insert_time = Decimal::from(Utc::now().timestamp_millis())
  344. }
  345. let pos_avg_price = self.pos_avg_price;
  346. self.debug_sender.unbounded_send(vec![
  347. now,
  348. mid_price,
  349. ask_price,
  350. bid_price,
  351. last_price,
  352. spread,
  353. spread_max,
  354. spread_min,
  355. optimal_ask_price,
  356. optimal_bid_price,
  357. inventory,
  358. sigma_square,
  359. gamma,
  360. kappa,
  361. flow_ratio,
  362. fair_price,
  363. pos_avg_price
  364. ]).unwrap();
  365. }
  366. // #[instrument(skip(self, ref_ticker_map), level="TRACE")]
  367. pub fn get_ref_price(&mut self, _ref_ticker_map: &BTreeMap<String, Ticker>) -> Vec<Vec<Decimal>> {
  368. vec![]
  369. }
  370. pub async fn update_open_params(&mut self) {
  371. let url = "http://is.skyfffire.com:18888/ia/get_indicator";
  372. let symbol = self.params.pair.to_lowercase();
  373. let exchange = self.params.exchange.to_lowercase();
  374. let params = json!({
  375. "indicator": "msv",
  376. "query": {
  377. "exchange": exchange,
  378. "symbol": symbol,
  379. "minute_time_range": "10",
  380. "mills_back": "37"
  381. }
  382. });
  383. // 创建 HTTP 客户端
  384. let client = Client::new();
  385. // 发送 GET 请求
  386. let response_rst = client.post(url)
  387. .json(&params)
  388. .send()
  389. .await;
  390. match response_rst {
  391. Ok(response) => {
  392. // 错误处理
  393. if response.status().is_success() {
  394. let response_text = response.text().await.unwrap();
  395. let parsed: Value = serde_json::from_str(response_text.as_str()).unwrap();
  396. let msv = parsed["data"]["msv"].clone();
  397. let msv_decimals: Vec<Decimal> = msv.as_array()
  398. .unwrap() // 确保 parsed 是一个数组
  399. .iter()
  400. .filter_map(|item| {
  401. // 尝试提取第二个值并转换为 Decimal
  402. if let Some(value) = item.get(1) {
  403. value.as_str().unwrap_or("0").parse::<Decimal>().ok()
  404. } else {
  405. None
  406. }
  407. })
  408. .collect();
  409. let max_abs_value = msv_decimals.iter()
  410. .map(|&value| value.abs()) // 获取每个数的绝对值
  411. .fold(Decimal::new(0, 0), |a, b| a.max(b)); // 计算最大值
  412. let prev_open = self.params.open.clone();
  413. self.params.open = if max_abs_value.is_zero() {
  414. panic!("十分钟内毫无波动的行情,停机。")
  415. } else {
  416. max(dec!(0.0004), max_abs_value / Decimal::ONE_HUNDRED)
  417. };
  418. if self.params.open != prev_open {
  419. info!("open: {} -> {}", prev_open, self.params.open);
  420. }
  421. } else {
  422. error!("自动参数挂了:{}", response.status());
  423. }
  424. }
  425. Err(_) => {}
  426. }
  427. }
  428. }